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Author Topic: [EPL2016] EPL Tipping System [Rnd 29 Div = 10587.0225 / 13.298943 Per Share]  (Read 6717 times)

TIPSEPL

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Hi All,

I'm back again with another EPL based tipping asset.  A few changes from last year, as requested. The new Season starts on Aug 13th 2016.

I've been betting on the English Premier League since it started, and since it's inception i've been refining a system which allows me to predict results.

Last year we achieved a 27.58% ROI with 47% of all games predicted correctly.  We paid out about 15.5BTC in Dividends The year previous we achieved a 135% ROI by predicting 53% of all game outcomes correctly. Just under 24 BTC was paid out over the season in dividends.

I have updated the system this year and rather than a Home-Draw-Away prediction, the system produces a "Best Bet" selecting one of 10 different types of bet which has odds within a certain threshold.  I utilise statistics from various sources, combined with my own specific calculation, which gives me a percentage, which i then place bets on the most likely result.  Tips are published to this thread before the rounds games.  This tipping service alone would cost your more than a token!

As people are buying the Asset, the NXT is converted to BTC and dropped in to a Kitty on a Bookmaker.  Each round, the Kitty is divided by the total number of games remaining in the season.  The winnings from the round are split between dividends, reinvestment in to the kitty and management fees.  At the end of the season, the complete kitty is divided by a final dividend and a management fee.  (The winnings are converted at the end of each round to NXT to pay dividends)

Different this year is the reducing price of the Asset per round, allowing for a fairer buy in price and easier ROI.  This was a big request from previous season.

10000 Tokens are on issues at 190 NXT each
80% of the winnings of each round is paid in dividend
10% is paid back in to the kitty
10% is kept by me as management fee
Each round the price of the Asset is reduced by 0.5 NXT per game played

I'll waive my management fee untill the kitty reaches 10 BTC, untill that point, my 10% will be put back in to the kitty (so 20% each round is reinvested)

Results from last year can be seen here (https://nxtforum.org/asset-exchange-general/(ann)-epl2015-premier-league-tipping-system/)

Example Round
In round 1, 380 games remain (typically 10 games per round)
Kitty = 10000 NXT
Bet per game = 10000 NXT / 380 games = 26.31578947 NXT
All predictions are succesful at odds of 2.0
5000 NXT winnings = 4000 NXT (Dividend), 500 NXT (Kitty), 500 NXT (Fee)
NXT Asset Price Drops from 190 to 185 NXT (10 x 0.5)

Any questions just reach out on the thread.

This is more of a fun project more than a serious money making opportunity, it just adds a bit of spice to watching the games i find.

Asset ID: 4347550005568983492
« Last Edit: March 31, 2017, 09:14:04 am by TIPSEPL »

TIPSEPL

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Free tip Example - Community shield

Leicester vs Man Utd

Prediction:  Half Time Draw
Chance:  50.74%
Odds:  2.10

*This isn't a home and away fixture the system is built for and isn't a "competitive" match, but we should be close.

qq2536007339

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Nice,I will buy some,just for fun.
NXT-DJ68-PG7W-4JEU-2LU5T

blackyblack1

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I'm interested in buying with BTC. Could you please allow direct purchases with BTC instead of converting to NXT and backwards.

TIPSEPL

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I can, but div's would still be in NXT?  If that works drop me a PM and i'll shoot you a BTC address, i'll need a NXT addy too to send the Asset to.

I'm interested in buying with BTC. Could you please allow direct purchases with BTC instead of converting to NXT and backwards.

blackyblack1

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I can, but div's would still be in NXT?  If that works drop me a PM and i'll shoot you a BTC address, i'll need a NXT addy too to send the Asset to.

I'm interested in buying with BTC. Could you please allow direct purchases with BTC instead of converting to NXT and backwards.
I'd prefer divs in BTC as well to avoid volatility and conversion fees. Yet I am ok with NXT divs if you are not ready to organize BTC payments.
I will be away for a week so I will contact with you a bit later.

qq2536007339

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I will buy just before English Premier League start,so I can get more Andor, ;D
NXT-DJ68-PG7W-4JEU-2LU5T

luggi5711

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Nice new asset.
But what about the bonus amount to EPL2015 holders ?

Joseph123

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Any news about this, i want to invest in it, because i got my apetite back for sportsbets. Now that olympics start, i`m sure people can make some good money.

TIPSEPL

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Nice new asset.
But what about the bonus amount to EPL2015 holders ?

I'll credit 5% of each purchase in EPL2016 to people who held EPL2015 at the end of the season.  New EPL2016 purchases must be from the same account that you hold the EPL2015 tokens.  PM me with your address after you have made your buys and i'll send the bonus across.

e.g Buy 100 units, receive 5 free

TIPSEPL

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Any news about this, i want to invest in it, because i got my apetite back for sportsbets. Now that olympics start, i`m sure people can make some good money.

Joseph, what do you need to know?  League start Aug 14th, so you have a couple of weeks to get in.

TIPSEPL

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First games in under a week.  Tips will be published Thur/Fri AEST.

qq2536007339

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Brought few,good luck.
NXT-DJ68-PG7W-4JEU-2LU5T

TIPSEPL

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Hi All,

Welcome back to another year of the excitement of the EPL!!!

If the summer soccer from the Euro's didn't do it for you, and if the quality of the Olympic matches are not up your street, then rejoice, the best league in the world is back (editors opinion only!)

Arsenal vs Liverpool has to be the pick of the games for Round one.  Have either team done enough in the transfer window to really make an impact this year?  All eyes will be on Leicester to see if they can repeat their astonishing run last year, and how well they will do in the Champs Lge.  They are paying $67!  Worth a couple of units for sure i think.

Anyway, here are the tips for Round 1 - As there is <10BTC in the kitty, my management fee is pushed back in to the kitty this week.

Good Luck!



blackyblack1

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Watching the games with much excitement :)

Could you please share some more info with us? What means "BTTS NO" and other cryptic bets? Do you bet "This round bet per game" amount in BTC on each game? What is the match date? Where can we track the match results? Do you know good streaming service to watch games or best game moments?

TIPSEPL

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Blacky

Apologies for the Cryptics!  Here is a useful guide, i'll add to the top post for future reference too

HOME/AWAY WIN - Whether the Home or Away team will win the Match
DRAW - The game will be a draw after normal full time of the match (Bookies only run usually over the 90+ minutes, not extra time or pen's)
CORRECT SCORE (x-x) - The correct score of both teams at full time of the match
Over 1.5 - 2 or more goals will be scored in the match by full time
Over 2.5 - 2 or less goals will be scored in the match by full time
Under 1.5 - 1 or 0 goals will be score in the match by full time
Under 2.5 - 0, 1 or 2 goals will be scored in the match by full time
BTTS YES - Both teams will score a goal by full time
BTTS NO - Either there will be no goals, or only one team will score a goal by full time

The same as above but with HT included, means that the bet is base don the half time result only e.g HT BTTS YES would be that both teams have scored a goal by the end of the first half of the game

"This round bet per game" is the amount that is wagered on each game that is listed, so this round a total of 0.053 BTC has been placed

These matches will be played this weekend, as we're all in different timezones it's hard to put a date on them as it's Early AM here in Australia, but the game is played afternoon in the UK etc etc

I like to use www.soccer24.com for game updates, you can select the games your intrested in tracking and it makes noise when something happens.

Typically i watch updates from the major news sites, for videos etc  The facebook pages of most of the big clubs have good footage too.  Also worth getting free account with betting companies as they also sometimes stream games.

Hope this helps

blackyblack1

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Hope this helps
Thanks, now I can read your bets.
Do you have a topic on bitcointalk? I think you could add some visiblity to your project and have more "players" with it.

TIPSEPL

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Round 1 Results - Dividend Paid - Asset Price Reduced

Dividend Per Share of 3.987892 NXT - Total Dividend of 876.7 NXT - 60% Correct Predictions

Total Divs Paid = 876.73 NXT

TIPSEPL

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Round 2 Tips are below



If you are looking for a good multi, check out, Man Utd, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal all to WIN.  The Arsenal Leicester game is the breaker here.  Leicester coming of a win to troubled club Hull, but equally Wenger under pressure after losing to Liverpool.

Good Luck!

TIPSEPL

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Round 2 Results - Dividend Paid - Asset Price Reduced

Dividend Per Share of 2.876181 NXT - Total Dividend of 874.58911848 NXT - 50% Correct Predictions

Total Divs Paid = 1751.31911848 NXT

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